The Rise of Vacancy - Part I (by Jeffery Fraser)

East Liberty Development, Inc. was still figuring out how to jump-start the housing market in the Pittsburgh neighborhood when it built 10 houses on Mellon Street across from a handful of vacant and blighted buildings. At $105,000 for three bedrooms, a bath and a half, a two-car garage and a zero-percent second mortgage for income-qualified buyers, the new homes were priced to sell.

None of them did. 

“Nobody was willing to buy on that block until we were able to tell them a good story, something concrete, about what was going to come about across the street,” said Kendall Pelling, project manager for the community development corporation. “We learned from experience that vacant and abandoned properties have a terrible impact on the housing market.”

Others are getting a similar education. Vacant and blighted properties are increasing across southwestern Pennsylvania, the state and the nation, robbing local governments of desperately needed tax revenue, consuming millions of tax dollars, eroding housing values, posing health and safety risks and complicating the already challenging job of reviving distressed neighborhoods.

In Allegheny County, a program for turning tax-delinquent vacant properties into community assets doesn’t come close to keeping pace with the rate at which properties become vacant. And the story is the same throughout southwestern Pennsylvania.

In Homewood, mapping routes to get children to and from school without exposing them to mean streets littered with vacant lots and abandoned buildings is one of the first steps the Homewood Children’s Village is taking as it attempts to improve the educational outcomes and overall well-being of children in one of Pittsburgh’s most distressed neighborhoods.

In Philadelphia, one of the few studies of the price that communities pay for vacancy and blight reports that housing values fall by 6.5 percent citywide and that at least $22 million a year is drained from the city in lost tax revenue and to cover maintenance, police and fire costs.

In Flint, Mich. and Cleveland, Ohio, land banks seize thousands of vacant tax-delinquent properties using laws Pennsylvania doesn’t have, and sells, rehabilitates or tears them down following comprehensive blight redevelopment strategies that haven’t been developed in southwestern Pennsylvania.

If there is a bright side to the growing problem, it lies in the opportunity vacant properties offer to redesign neighborhoods in ways that are better suited to their down-sized populations, such as widening narrow lots found in many former industrial towns to accommodate fewer, but more marketable parcels, and turning empty lots and buildings into greenways, community gardens, recreational space and other amenities that give local housing markets more appeal.

“Any community that has blighted and abandoned properties and sees them only as a strain and a drain is undervaluing the real estate,” said Court Gould, executive director of Sustainable Pittsburgh, which last year published a comprehensive report on vacant property in southwestern Pennsylvania. “We need to be thinking about those properties as stranded economic assets.”

East Liberty Development, Inc. got the message. The new houses on Mellon Street sold after the nonprofit bought the vacant properties across the street and came up with a plan to renovate some of the vacant houses and build new ones on the other lots.

Recent Pennsylvania legislation offers municipalities, community organizations, and even residents a more expansive menu of legal options for dealing with neglectful landlords, absentee owners and the vacant and blighted properties next door.

But when dealing with tens of thousands of vacant properties, effective intervention comes down to a question of scale. And in southwestern Pennsylvania, local government attempts to combat vacancy and blight fall far short of recovering anything but a fraction of the vacant lots and houses found along city, borough and township streets.

Over the past seven years, the Allegheny County Vacant Property Recovery Program has helped put some 500 vacant, tax-delinquent properties into the hands of buyers interested in turning them into side yards, small parks and other neighborhood-friendly uses. At that rate of recovery, the program barely makes a dent.

The percentage of vacant housing in the county jumped from 6.8 percent to 9.4 percent over the past two decades – a trend experienced in every county in the region, according to U.S. Census data. More than 55,000 housing units, including apartments, stand vacant. And the Census Bureau doesn’t count vacant lots, which greatly outnumber vacant houses.

“Even if we did 1,000 properties this year – and we won’t – I would have a job for life,” said Richard Ranii, who oversees the program as manager of the Housing and Human Services Division of the Allegheny County Economic Development Department.

A creeping crisis

Shifting, aging or declining population, weak housing markets, poor housing stock, crime, underperforming schools and other factors that make some communities less than desirable places to live -- all of these factors contribute to vacancy and blight. High mortgage foreclosure rates, decimated job markets other consequences of recession have exacerbated the problem.

Antiquated tax foreclosure systems can take years to move against delinquent properties, and many accrue several years’ worth of delinquent taxes and penalties. In depressed markets, such Homewood, where the average price paid for residential property was $9,060 in 2009, back taxes and penalties can easily exceed the market value of a house, encouraging owners to ignore its upkeep or to walk away from it entirely.

“There isn’t a place I go where someone doesn’t talk about a problem property they are frustrated with,” said Irene McLaughlin, an attorney and consultant on vacant property issues for the Housing Alliance of Pennsylvania and others.

More than 11 percent of the houses and apartments across the United States are vacant, according to the 2010 U.S. Census. In states hit hardest by the mortgage foreclosure crisis, the rate is much higher – 17.5 percent in Florida, for example, and 16.3 percent in Arizona.

Nine percent of the housing in the seven-county Pittsburgh Metropolitan Statistical Area is vacant, up from 6.8 percent in 1990.

Cities tend to have higher concentrations of vacant property, and Pittsburgh is no exception with nearly 13 percent of its houses and apartments standing vacant. Higher rates are found in several nearby cities. The vacancy rate is 19 percent in Cleveland and Youngstown, Ohio. And 15 percent of Steubenville’s housing is vacant.

Even higher concentrations are found in poor urban neighborhoods and municipalities that have endured decades of economic decline. In other words, the places shouldering the heaviest burden are the most fragile and the least likely to have the resources to do something about it.

Many pay the price

While those living on blight-ridden streets are the most directly affected, studies suggest the economic and social costs of long-standing vacancy are widely shared.

What those costs amount to in southwestern Pennsylvania is unclear. Pittsburgh’s year-old Land Recycling Task Force, planning department and others are working on an analysis of the economic impact on the city, which is expected later this year. And there is no countywide or regional accounting of the total cost of vacant property.

Philadelphia is one of the few places that examined those costs. Its study found that vacant properties reduce market values by 6.5 percent citywide and by as much as 20 percent in high-vacancy neighborhoods, resulting in an average loss in value of $8,000 for each city household. Tax-delinquent vacant properties in Philadelphia owe an estimated $70 million in back taxes, a sum that grows by $2 million every year. And vacant properties consume $20 million in city services a year, including $8 million spent on code enforcement and maintenance.

When housing values plummet, those who are hurt the most include long-time homeowners, many of them senior citizens – the very people who tend to hold together what is left of declining neighborhoods.

“We got a call last year from an elderly woman in one of those neighborhoods,” said Rob Stephany, director of the Pittsburgh Urban Redevelopment Authority. “She had a $9,000 bid from a contractor to replace her roof, which had started to leak. Her next-door neighbor’s house had sold for less than that, about $7,000. Here was a responsible, salt-of-the-earth-Greatest-Generation senior citizen asking whether she should repair her roof or just ride it out. That is loss of equity.” 

Vacant and blighted properties also play a role in unraveling of the quality of life in a neighborhood and dimming the outlooks of those who live there.

For Malik Bankston, one of the more challenging aspects taking control of vacant properties in Pittsburgh’s Larimer neighborhood and then creating gardens, parks and a safer and more vibrant place to live was convincing residents that it could be done. “It was tough getting a conversation going,” said the Kingsley Center director. “For so long, the neighborhood watched a deliberate kind of disinvestment play out, which resulted in us having one of the highest incidence of vacant and blighted property.”

More than 42 percent of the lots, houses and buildings in Larimer are unoccupied. And, like most neighborhoods with high rates of vacant and blighted property, crime rates are higher than citywide averages – in Larimer’s case, 30-50 percent higher.

In Homewood, where nearly 44 percent of the lots and 28 percent of the houses are vacant, finding ways for school children to avoid them is a priority of the Homewood Children’s Village, which is based on a program in New York’s Harlem neighborhood that concentrates community support and services on mending the social fabric and improving children’s outcomes.

“The impact of vacant and abandoned properties on kids is a real concern,” said John Wallace, a University of Pittsburgh associate professor of social work who spent several years planning the Homewood initiative. “These properties are risk factors for crime, they’re a safety risk and they’re a health risk.”

The “broken window” theory argues that is not by coincidence. The theory, introduced by social scientists James Q. Wilson and George Kelling in 1982, has become widely accepted by law enforcement. It suggests that vacant and blighted houses, abandoned cars and other visible evidence of neglect send the signal that nobody cares, erode community controls and leave neighborhoods more vulnerable to crime.

Southwestern Pennsylvania police departments don’t track the relationship between crime and vacant property. And the few local studies that looked at the relationship offer contradictory, inconclusive findings.

Evidence elsewhere suggests the relationship is not benign. Philadelphia spends close to $6 million a year on police and fire calls to vacant properties. A study published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago reported violent crime rates in the city rose 2.3 percent with every 0.01 percent increase in mortgage foreclosures. After a sharp rise in foreclosures and vacancy, the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department in North Carolina analyzed its records and found that high neighborhood foreclosure rates predicted higher crime rates, including violent crime, which rose steadily in those neighborhoods, but stayed much lower in places with few foreclosures.

Whether residents of neighborhoods with a high percentage of vacant, boarded-up stores and homes, litter and graffiti have a higher incidence of disease and premature death was a question RAND researchers looked at in 2003. Even after controlling for poverty, they found that those who live in deteriorating neighborhoods have higher rates of premature death and death by cardiovascular disease and homicide than people in neighborhoods that are not in decline.

That was not the only troubling effect they noted. In neighborhoods where residents were seen as willing to work toward a common good, the rate of premature deaths was lower. The one exception was in neighborhoods with a high number of vacant homes and other signs of decline, where the willingness of residents to help out made no difference.

Liabilities to assets

The flip side of vacant and blighted properties is that under the right circumstances they can be used to improve conditions in the neighborhoods they helped lead down a path of decline. In southwestern Pennsylvania, both public and private sector interest in reclaiming vacant property to add elbowroom and a little green to crowded urban neighborhoods is growing.

“With a lot of liabilities, your only option is to eliminate or reduce them. To be able to turn a liability into a asset is a unique opportunity,” said Frederick Thieman, executive director of the Buhl Foundation, which funded the Sustainable Pittsburgh report on vacant property in southwestern Pennsylvania. “Vacant property provides us with such an opportunity.”

Demolition is a common municipal response to abandoned houses. Clarksburg. W.Va. took a low-interest state loan to finance a campaign against the blight that had accumulated during decades of economic decline, tearing down nearly 300 homes. More than half of the 900 vacant houses acquired by a public land bank in Cuyahoga County, Ohio last year have been razed.

“It’s like cleaning the cancer cells out of the body so the rest can be healthy,” said Frank Ford, vice president for research and development at Neighborhood Progress, Inc., a Cleveland neighborhood development agency. “It’s hard for me to say that. Like most of my colleagues, I was a preservationist 20 years ago. We rehabbed houses. That’s not feasible now. The market isn’t going to come back until we clear out the bad stuff and allow it to come back.”

“Greening” vacant lots is an increasingly popular strategy for helping turn around distressed neighborhoods.

In Pittsburgh, the city’s Green Up Pittsburgh program has put hundreds of vacant lots in the hands of community groups and residents who use them as neighborhood green spaces and side yards. Before Larimer residents decided to reinvent themselves as a green community, nonprofits used vacant lots to introduce them to ideas such as community gardens and urban farming. And in Homewood, a community group that began gardening vacant lots a decade ago established its own urban landscaping company and youth training program.

But before any house is rehabilitated or lot seeded with sunflowers, those interested in doing the work must take title of the property, which can be a time-consuming and costly process. In some cases, their local government lends them a hand.

Allegheny County, for example, helps municipalities and others acquire vacant properties through eminent domain-like powers granted in the state’s Urban Redevelopment Authority law and pays for clearing the title, which costs about $3,000.

And Pittsburgh takes tax-delinquent properties through treasurer’s sales, “quiets” the titles and holds them in its land reserve until community groups arrange financing to buy them. But financial and staffing constraints cap acquisitions at 300 properties a year, which represents about 1.5 percent of the vacant houses and lots in the city.

Pennsylvania added a number of legal tools to help combat vacancy and blight in recent years. The state’s new conservatorship act, for example, allows community groups and others to petition courts to appoint a third party to take temporary possession of a blighted property, rehabilitate or demolish it, and then offer the property back to the owner for the cost of the work done or sell it under court supervision to someone else.

But the consensus best practice for tackling vacant property on a large scale is not available in Pennsylvania. Genesee County, Mich. and Cuyahoga County in Ohio are showing how land banking and property tax reform can be used across entire counties to take control of thousands of vacant tax-delinquent properties, keep them out the hands of slumlords and speculators and manage them as community assets.

In June, legislation to empower land banks was introduced in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives by state Rep. John Taylor (R-Philadelphia). The bill, which received the endorsement of Pittsburgh Mayor Luke Ravenstahl, is under consideration in the House Urban Affairs Committee.

But costs are an issue. Genesee County and other land banks are able to recover much, if not all, of their operating costs through sales and the collection tax liens and penalties.

Start-up costs are another matter. While a land bank in Pittsburgh is estimated to cost $3.7 million a year to operate, it could take another $15 million to clear the titles of the more than 7,500 vacant properties in the city’s inventory, according to an unpublished report prepared for the city Land Recycling Task Force.

Spending that kind of money makes many municipal officials nervous, particularly when most face serious budget shortfalls. “We run into that all of the time,” said Dan Kildee, a former Genesee County treasurer who now directs the Center for Community Progress, a nonprofit that specializes in vacant property issues. “But it ignores the costs taxpayers already pay for vacant property and abandonment. You have to measure the cost of change against the cost of the current path that we’re on. Anybody who argues that the current path we’re on is the right one isn’t examining the full cost of vacant and abandoned property.”

(Matt Stroud of PittsburghTODAY.org contributed to the reporting for this article).

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Job Losses Accelerate (by Harold D. Miller)

Unfortunately, the latest regional job numbers released just before the start of the Memorial Day Weekend aren't anything to celebrate.  The Pittsburgh Region lost nearly 28,000 jobs between April 2008 and April 2009 (1 out of every 40 jobs in the region).  The most depressing news is that the total number of jobs in the region has now fallen below 1999 levels for the first time since 2003; in other words, all of the net job gains the region has made in the past decade have been lost.

BenchmarkRegionsApr09 The rate of job loss here is still lower than the U.S. as a whole and lower than all but one of our benchmark regions.  However, our rate of job loss increased significantly in April; if that keeps up, we will stop looking so good relative to other regions. 

BenchmarkRegionsManufApr09 In particular, one of the reasons our economy had been doing well relative to others was that we had been losing manufacturing jobs at a much lower rate. Unfortunately, that is no longer true; in April, our rate of manufacturing job loss was higher than 7 of our benchmark regions.

PghRegionApr09 Our health care and higher education sectors continue to be the only significant net job generators.  In addition to manufacturing, our region is being hurt by large job losses in the leisure and hospitality sector relative to other regions (particularly among arts and entertainment organizations) and large job losses in professional and business services and construction (although those losses are still lower in percentage terms than most regions).

PghVsUSApr09 Since the U.S. as a whole has now been losing jobs for a full year, we're lucky that we've only been losing jobs for seven months and at much lower rates.  But since the U.S. is continuing to lose jobs, it seems likely that things will get worse here before they get better.

Salute of Jeff Lantz and fellow photographers

In December 2007, Pittsburgh Today introduced a new home page design that featured as a centerpiece images from our 22-county region.  Jeff Lantz of Springdale has been one of our community contributors from the very first week.  In recognition of the excellence of his work, for the next two weeks we will be running five photos of his that poignantly capture the tragic April 4 events that cut short the lives of three Pittsburgh police officers.

 Jefflantz
(Jeff Lantz at home with his dog)

Lantz heard the news report and hopped in his car to record the events in Stanton Heights.  On his own initiative, he stuck with story through the week until the officers were laid to rest following a moving service on the campus of the University of Pittsburgh.  You will notice three other Lantz photos on the site that were part of our most recent sequence which will continue until mid-June.  You may also see more of Lantz’s photography at www.flickr.com/fuzzzy.

In the Pittsburgh Today photo viewer you’ll find a ‘Where is it?’ button that includes a county map and information about the subject of the photo.  It is designed to reinforce the idea of Pittsburgh: a major, beautiful, vibrant and diverse region of the United States that involves parts of three states.  This viewer is also a communal enterprise and Lantz has not been alone in making contributions, but has as associates individuals and organizations also involved in activities with a regional reach. 

We are very appreciative of the regular contributions of Pittsburgh History and Landmarks Foundation, under the leadership of Arthur Ziegler and Ethan Raup; the Port of Pittsburgh, Jim McCarville and Mike Brinza; Rivers of Steel Heritage Area, Jeff Leber; and the Pittsburgh Filmmakers, Charlie Humphrey and Sue Abramson.


Thank you all very much,

Region Indicators Organizing Committee

John G. Craig Jr. featured in Keystone Edge

John G. Craig Jr. was featured in the innovation newsletter, Keystone Edge.  Read the article: Measuring Vital Signs: Pittsburgh Today Details the Region Under John Craig's Watchful Eye.

To read stories every week about innovation in Pennsylvania, click here for a free weekly subscription to the Keystone Edge.

Pittsburgh men eating their way to bad health (By Tanya Kenkre and Bernard Goldstein)

The Pittsburgh Indicators Project has previously reported that Pittsburghers tend to be heavier than most Americans, on the whole as well as the average of benchmark regions.  A closer look at the data reveals that Pittsburgh men are particularly overweight.   We have a lower percent of men who are in the normal BMI range, and more in the combined overweight and obese categories, than any of the other 14 regions that are part of the Pittsburgh Indicators comparison group.  Pittsburgh women are near the average in the rankings for the proportion with healthy BMIs.  Unfortunately, Pittsburgh area women are on the higher end of the rankings in terms of the percent who are obese.  The BMI is based on the height and weight provided during a telephone interview to a national sample that is of sufficient size to be reasonably robust statistically.

 Adult onset diabetes is one of the major health problems caused by not keeping to normal weight.  Having relatively fewer men and women with normal weight would predict that we have more diabetics – which in fact we do.   Diabetes leads to a significantly increased risk of stroke, heart attack, blindness, kidney disease, neurological disease and a host of other life shortening and life limiting disorders.  The total costs for diabetes in 2007 in the United States are estimated by the American Diabetes Association as 174 billion dollars, up 32% since 2004 (http://www.diabetes.org/diabetes-statistics/cost-of-diabetes-in-us.jsp).  The amount spent on diabetes and on the many complications of this disease account for about 20% of total health care costs.   The cost per individual with diabetes averages over $11,000 per year.  While we found no specific dollar costs for the Pittsburgh region, it appears obvious that a region with more obesity will have more diabetes and more health care costs.

 Why are we overweight?  For any individual, weight gain or loss is determined by whether we take in more or less calories than we expend in our daily activities.  For each one of us, the less we eat or the more we exercise will make a difference.  In attempting to understand whether our region’s problem is that we eat too much or exercise too little, we consulted the CDC data base on physical activity.  Like the data on weight, the data on physical activity come from an annual national phone questionnaire and have all of the potential problems of such an approach.  CDC codes the responses as indicating sufficient exercise, insufficient exercise, or no exerciseFrom this data, it appears that women in our region are just about at the national and benchmark averages in terms of physical activity, while the good news is that men in our area are considerably above average.   While care is necessary in interpreting data from telephone surveys, it seems an inescapable conclusion that in comparison with the rest of the country, men in the Pittsburgh region are fat because we eat too much, not because we exercise too little.  

 Men in our region (and women too) take great pride in the number one ranking of many of our sports teams.  Being number one in overweight and obesity is a ranking that we could do without.

Has the Economy Ever Been This Bad? (By Harold D. Miller)

Over the past several months, job losses in the Pittsburgh Region have accelerated rapidly as the U.S. economy has continued to slide deeper into recession. Many people wonder: Has it ever been this bad before?

This is clearly the worst recession the U.S. economy has experienced in a half-century. Over the past twelve months, nearly 5 million jobs have been lost in the U.S., or 3.6% of national employment. That’s almost twice as many jobs in one year as in the entire 2001-2003 recession, when over two years, 2.5 million jobs (1.9% of the total) were lost nationally.

RecessionsinUS

The last time the U.S. economy lost this large a percentage of jobs was over 50 years ago, when jobs dropped by 3.7% in March, 1958. Even though the percentage loss was slightly higher then, the U.S. economy was less than half as big, so the loss of 2 million jobs then still pales compared to the 5 million lost today.

So most people across the country have never experienced an economic downturn this bad. But it turns out that Pittsburghers have seen much worse, and many times.

Over the past twelve months (March 2008 to March 2009), the Pittsburgh Region has lost over 20,000 jobs, or 1.8% of our employment. Although that’s the largest one-year loss of jobs we’ve experienced in two decades, it’s still smaller than the total number of jobs we lost in the most recent recession. Between March 2001 and 2003, the Pittsburgh Region lost over 28,000 jobs, or 2.5% of its employment.

Of course, depending on how long the U.S. recession continues, job losses here could continue to grow and exceed the 2001-2003 total. But it’s hard to imagine that it could get as bad here as it was when the steel industry collapsed 25 years ago.

Between March 1980 and 1983, the Pittsburgh Region lost over 85,000 jobs – almost 1 out of every 10 jobs that existed at the time. More than half of that occurred in a single year; in March 1983, the region lost 45,000 jobs, or 5.2% of what was already a diminished job base in 1982. That was more than double the rate of job loss nationally that year.

RecessionsinPgh

Although you may not be surprised to hear that things were worse in the mid-1980s, it may be news that we’ve had worse economic problems than 2009 at least 4 other times in the past half-century. The Pittsburgh Region lost a higher percentage of jobs in 1971 (1.9%) than it has this year, and despite having a smaller economy, the region lost a much larger number of jobs during the 1961 recession (66,000 jobs at the peak), the 1958 recession (69,000 jobs at the peak), and the 1954 recession (76,000 jobs at the peak) than in the past year. (Although the Pittsburgh Region also lost jobs in the 1975 recession, it’s difficult to calculate the exact number because of changes in the way data were tabulated that year.)

A particularly troublesome aspect of the current recession in Pittsburgh is the significant loss of manufacturing jobs. In the past 12 months, the region has lost 7,400 manufacturing jobs, or 7.5% of our manufacturing job base. Yet even that is a smaller percentage loss of manufacturing jobs than what we experienced in 2002, 1983, 1982, 1961, 1958, and 1954.

RecessionJobLosses

All of this reflects a dramatic change in the Pittsburgh Region’s economy. In the past, national recessions hit the Pittsburgh Region much harder than the U.S. as a whole, but during the 2001-2003 recession, the rate of job loss in the Pittsburgh Region was just slightly higher than the U.S., and during the current recession, our rate of job loss (1.8%) is only half the national rate (3.6%).

Although losing fewer jobs than other regions in a recession is a good thing, it would be far better if we could also grow more jobs than other regions when the economy is strong. That will require a much stronger focus on encouraging business startups and expansions in the region. For more detail on what needs to be done, see "The Road to the Economic Super Bowl" at www.PittsburghFuture.com.

(A version of this post appeared as the Regional Insights column in the May 3 Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.)